Three-bar reversals.
What follows the turn?
1,646 measured reversals · 20-bar horizon
Maximum favourable movement before invalidation; not a realised return.
Research, trading perspectives, and useful tools. Exploring how markets behave, and what that means in practice.
One question, study, or practical idea at a time.
Three-bar reversals across six futures markets and five timeframes, followed by a separate five-bar trading test on NQ, ES, GC and YM. Explore the pattern, returns and drawdowns.
The decisions between spotting a pattern and having a complete trading process.
Explore how win rate, average payoff, and trading costs work together.
I use TFT to explore the questions that come up in trading. Sometimes that means testing a pattern against historical data. Sometimes it means looking carefully at execution, a chart, or an idea worth questioning.
You'll find research alongside practical notes and tools. Each piece takes the form that best serves the subject.
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